What decertifying the Iran Deal could mean
WASHINGTON (Sinclair Broadcast Group) —
Sunday is the deadline for President Donald Trump to certify whether or not Iran is in compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action -- also known as the Iran nuclear deal.
That Congress-imposed deadline happens every 90 days.
If the president chooses to decertify it, the decision gives Congress the green light to re-impose sanctions, and could be a signal the U.S. is on the road to eventually pull out of the deal altogether.
“I was in the Oval [Office] on the day it was re-certified,” said former White House asviser Sebastian Gorka. “The President was not happy that the decision was finally made to re-certify last time.”
If he takes a different path this time around, international security expert and Georgetown University professor Matt Kroenig says it’s possible decertification could eventually lead to the end of the deal.
“The President would decertify. It would kick the issue to Congress. Congress could re-impose new sanctions and that would likely force Iran to withdraw.” Kroenig said in an interview Wednesday.
Whether or not Congress would re-impose those sanctions is still unknown. U.S. allies in the Middle East, like Israel, are in favor of that but some of America's European allies are not, which Gorka said is in part for their own financial reasons.
“Our European allies are allowed to do business in Iran as a result of the Iran deal -- billions of Euros worth of business is being done. On top of that they aren’t actually targeted by Iran,” Gorka said in an interview Monday.
But on a global scale the security implications are immense, Kroenig said and outlined in his book, “A Time to Attack," which details the Iranian nuclear threat.
“Best estimates are now that the deal put Iran one year away from the bomb, so 12 months from now we can face that terrible decision that the Obama Administration faced of: do we want to bomb Iran, let Iran have the bomb or do we get some kind of new deal?”
A new deal is precisely what President Trump says he wants, but so many others say isn’t on the table.